Scenario Edge
Scenario Edge is an AI portfolio tool for investors: describe a macro event and it projects how your stocks, ETFs and crypto could react at 6, 12 and 24 months, with confidence scores. Not investment advice.
What is Scenario Edge?
Scenario Edge is a web platform built around one question: if a given macro event actually happened, what would it do to the portfolio you hold today? You enter your positions — stocks, ETFs and cryptocurrencies drawn from NASDAQ, NYSE, ASX, LSE, HKEX and other venues, described on the site as thousands of tickers globally — then describe a hypothetical event in ordinary language. The engine interprets it, maps it to the transmission channels that touch your specific holdings, and returns a projected impact at 6, 12 and 24 months, both for the portfolio overall and line by line. Five macro assumptions sit under every run — inflation, policy rate, GDP growth, unemployment and commodity prices — pre-filled at market consensus and fully editable, alongside three analysis styles: Conservative, Base Case and Aggressive. Seven dimensions are assessed: macro conditions, sector sensitivity, company fundamentals, commodity and rate exposure, regulation and public policy, market sentiment, and liquidity and crypto risk appetite. The distinctive part is what the platform does after producing a projection. Sources are ranked in three tiers — Tier 1 for SEC filings, central banks and official statistics, Tier 2 for Reuters, Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal, Tier 3 for general research — and two or more Tier 1 sources are required before evidence strength is rated high. A multi-factor confidence model weighs evidence quality, scenario specificity, projection magnitude and asset class, penalising extreme projections and volatile classes such as crypto. Direction is derived algorithmically from the 6- and 12-month deltas rather than asserted by the model, ranges are preferred to point estimates, direct evidence is distinguished from inference, and every analysis lists the triggers that would invalidate its own thesis. Free material surrounds the paid product: a library of nine written scenarios (six geopolitical, two regulatory, one climate), three long-form research articles, and Risk Grader, a no-account tool scoring two to five tickers from 0 to 100. Models come from Anthropic and OpenAI, market data from Yahoo Finance, authentication from Firebase and billing from Stripe. The home page claims 3,200+ scenario runs, 1,500+ portfolios stress-tested, 3,300+ assets covered and a 94% average confidence score. Every page repeats the same caveat: these are hypothetical estimates for educational purposes, not investment advice.
What it does
- Project how a hypothetical macro event would hit each holding, at 6, 12 and 24 months and for the portfolio as a whole
- Describe that event in plain English — "Fed cuts rates aggressively in 2027" — with no query syntax to learn
- Enter stocks, ETFs and crypto from ASX, NASDAQ, NYSE, LSE, HKEX and other venues, with quantities and purchase prices
- Adjust the macro assumptions behind a run: inflation, policy rate, GDP growth, unemployment, commodity prices
- Switch the analysis style between Conservative, Base Case and Aggressive
- Read the cited sources, evidence strength and confidence score behind every projection
- Grade a portfolio for free with the Risk Grader — two to five tickers, no account required
When to use Scenario Edge / When not to
A quick filter to help you decide if Scenario Edge is the right fit.
When to use Scenario Edge
- Individual investors who want to stress-test real holdings against a specific macro event rather than a generic risk questionnaire
- Active investors and power users running several scenarios a month across multiple saved portfolios
- Analysts and risk-minded readers who want per-holding reasoning, tiered source citations and confidence scores instead of a single headline number
- Investors holding across several venues at once (ASX, NASDAQ, NYSE, LSE, HKEX) and mixing stocks, ETFs and crypto in the same portfolio
- Lecturers, students and journalists using hypothetical macro scenarios as teaching or research material, via the free scenario library and Risk Grader
When not to use Scenario Edge
- Anyone looking for buy, sell or hold recommendations: the service issues none, and its publisher states it is not a licensed financial adviser and accepts no responsibility for decisions taken in reliance on it
- Anyone expecting forecasts: the outputs are hypothetical projections that depend entirely on the macro assumptions you feed in
- Under-18s, who cannot open an account at all
- Developers and teams needing an API, a mobile app or a brokerage sync: none exist, positions are typed in by hand, and the tool is browser-only
- Free-tier users hoping to model their own money, since the free plan runs demonstration portfolios only
How to use Scenario Edge
A typical end-to-end flow, from setup to results.
- Open the demonstration portfolio first if you want to see the output before committing anything — it is reachable without an account
- Create an account with an email address and a password (Firebase Authentication); you must be at least 18
- Search for your tickers and enter quantities; the interface shows each line's current price, total value and weight in the portfolio
- Describe a scenario in ordinary language, such as "Fed cuts rates aggressively in 2027"; the engine maps it to the macro channels that touch your holdings
- Review the pre-filled macro assumptions — inflation, unemployment, policy rate, GDP growth, commodity prices — and adjust any you disagree with
- Pick an analysis style: Conservative, Base Case or Aggressive
- Run the scenario, then read the projected portfolio value, the per-holding impact with its reasoning, the confidence and evidence scores, the risk factors and the watch points
- Follow the cited sources and the thesis-invalidation triggers before drawing any conclusion from the figures
- Watch the quota: one scenario run is one full portfolio analysis, and re-running the same scenario spends another; saving or editing a portfolio does not
- Buy extra runs from the dashboard when the monthly allowance is gone, or fall back on the free Risk Grader for a quick diversification score
Pros & Cons
Pros
- Every projection carries a confidence score and an evidence strength, with the sources it rests on cited and traceable
- Sources are ranked by reliability tier — official filings and central banks, then the major financial press, then general research — rather than pooled indiscriminately
- Impact direction and labels are derived algorithmically from the 6- and 12-month deltas, not asserted as model opinion, and extreme projections and volatile asset classes are penalised
- Each analysis states what would invalidate its own thesis, which is unusual in this category
- The demonstration portfolio and the Risk Grader are usable with no account and no payment card
- The free plan is permanent, not a countdown trial, and pay-as-you-go extra runs mean an exhausted quota never forces a plan change; subscriptions can be cancelled at any time
- The publisher states plainly that customer data is not used to train AI models, and names its subprocessors one by one
Cons
- No legal identity is published: no full company name, no postal address, no ABN or ACN, even though the terms place any dispute before Australian courts — and the Australian business register returns no entity under this name
- A single contact channel, hello@scenarioedge.com, serving support, legal and data protection alike; there is no contact page, no about page and no form
- Demanding pricing against the quota: USD 49 a month buys five scenario runs and USD 199 buys thirty, unused runs do not roll over, and re-running the same scenario spends another one
- The free plan accepts demonstration portfolios only, so real holdings cannot be modelled without paying; there is also no public API, no mobile app and no brokerage sync, and positions are entered by hand
- The privacy policy states that no third-party advertising cookies are used, while the pages load a Meta pixel and a Pinterest tag — both advertising networks
- An "Available on the App Store" badge appears on the home page although no application exists, the research articles are dated 27 March 2025 (roughly a year before the domain was registered on 17 March 2026), and the usage figures shown on the home page rest on no source
- No data hosting country or region is published, the word GDPR appears nowhere, no Article 27 representative, DPO or legal basis is stated, and no data processing agreement is offered to customers
Pricing & Plans
There is a permanent free plan at zero cost, limited to one scenario run per month on demonstration portfolios and requiring no payment card. The lowest paid entry point is the Starter plan at USD 49 per month, which covers five scenario runs a month, up to three saved portfolios and additional runs at USD 7 each. Above it, the Pro plan is USD 199 per month for thirty runs, unlimited portfolios and extras at USD 5. Both paid plans can be billed annually, advertised as a saving of about 20% with no amount published. Payment is processed by Stripe, billed in advance and cancellable at any time, with no pro-rata refund for a period already started unless the law requires one. Note that prices are displayed with a dollar sign alone: the currency code is written nowhere on the pages and USD is the site's default, so the currency actually charged is worth confirming at checkout.
- Free — USD 0
- described as free forever — 1 scenario run per month
- demonstration portfolios only
- limited history
- Basic per-holding analysis
- no extra runs
- no exports
- no scenario comparison
- Starter — USD 49 per month
- presented as "Most Popular" — 5 scenario runs per month
- up to 3 saved portfolios
- full history
- Standard analysis
- extra runs at USD 7 each
- no exports
- no scenario comparison
- Pro — USD 199 per month — 30 scenario runs per month
- unlimited saved portfolios
- full history
- Advanced analysis
- extra runs at USD 5 each
- plus downloadable exports and reports
- side-by-side scenario comparison
- deep research mode and priority processing
- Annual billing is available on Starter and Pro
- advertised as saving about 20%
- the site publishes no annual figure
Data, GDPR & hosting
A consolidated view of how Scenario Edge handles your data.
GDPR overview
The site never uses the word GDPR. No compliance is claimed, no legal basis for processing is stated, no international transfer mechanism or standard contractual clauses are described, no Article 27 EU representative is designated and no data protection officer is named. What the privacy policy does offer (§6), and only "depending on your jurisdiction", is a list of rights that mirrors the GDPR catalogue: access to the personal data held, correction of inaccurate data, deletion ("right to be forgotten"), objection to or restriction of certain processing, and portability in a machine-readable format. These are exercised by email to hello@scenarioedge.com, with a stated 30-day response. §7 separates essential cookies from functional analytics cookies and refers users to their browser settings. The governing law announced in the terms is Australian, not European. The policy in force is dated 26 March 2026.
Who owns the data?
Under the terms (§7) you keep ownership of the portfolio data and scenario inputs you enter. In return you grant the publisher a limited licence to process that material, stated as being solely to operate and improve the service. Everything on the other side of the line — the platform's own content, design, code, logos and trademarks — belongs to Scenario Edge or is licensed to it. The privacy policy adds that personal information is not sold to third parties. Who Scenario Edge is in law, however, is nowhere stated: no company suffix, registration number or postal address appears on any page, so the counterparty holding that licence cannot be identified.
Reuse rights
Because ownership of your portfolio data and scenario inputs stays with you, the terms set out no restriction on reusing them or the analyses produced from them; the practical limit is technical rather than contractual, since downloadable exports and reports are a Pro feature and Free and Starter users read their results in the browser. On the collection side, the publisher takes an email address and password (Firebase Authentication), the holdings you type in (tickers, quantities, purchase prices), your macro assumptions and any message sent to hello@scenarioedge.com. Page views and interaction events go to Google Analytics 4, along with IP address, browser, operating system and referring URL, plus session and analytics cookies. Card details are handled directly by Stripe and no card number is stored. The stated purposes are running and improving the service, managing accounts and billing, sending transactional email through SendGrid, answering support, analysing usage, preventing fraud and complying with the law. Portfolio and scenario inputs may be sent to Anthropic and OpenAI to generate the analysis; the privacy policy states those providers do not train on that data under enterprise agreements.
Data retention & training
Hosting summary
Scenario Edge publishes no hosting country and no hosting region. The privacy policy names components rather than locations: account data and saved scenarios sit in Firebase, Google's cloud platform, which also handles authentication. Security is described in terms of measures instead of geography — HTTPS/TLS encryption in transit and Firebase security rules for data at rest — and the publisher acknowledges that no internet transmission is completely secure. The named subprocessors are Firebase (Google), Stripe, SendGrid (Twilio), Google Analytics 4, Anthropic, OpenAI and Yahoo Finance, each described as operating under its own privacy policy and data processing agreements; portfolio and scenario inputs may travel to Anthropic and OpenAI when an analysis runs. One external observation, which is infrastructure evidence and not a statement by the publisher: the web server answers from an Amazon anycast address (216.150.1.1) geolocated in the United States. Beyond that, nothing can be said about jurisdiction — no transfer mechanism, no standard contractual clauses and no data centre location appear anywhere on the site.
Things to keep in mind
Risks and trade-offs to weigh before adopting Scenario Edge.
- No identifiable legal entity: "Scenario Edge" is a brand name with no company suffix, no ABN or ACN and no address, and the Australian business register returns no entity under it — yet the terms send any dispute to Australian courts, which leaves you nobody to name
- One contact channel only, hello@scenarioedge.com, which also serves as the legal and data-protection address; if it goes unanswered there is no second route
- The privacy policy states that no advertising or tracking cookies from third-party ad networks are used, while the pages load a Meta pixel and the bundle carries a Pinterest tag — both belong to advertising networks
- The research articles are dated 27 March 2025, roughly a year before the domain was registered on 17 March 2026, and an "Available on the App Store" badge on the home page opens a dialog box rather than an app listing: two presentation choices that overstate the product's history and reach
- The usage figures on the home page — 3,200+ scenario runs, 1,500+ portfolios stress-tested, 3,300+ assets, 94% average confidence — are backed by no source and cannot be checked
- The outputs are numbered per-holding projections at 6, 12 and 24 months. The "not investment advice" disclaimers are on every page, but figures shaped like that read like forecasts, anchor expectations, and can quietly substitute for your own reasoning — the more so as the publisher is neither identified nor licensed
- No data hosting country or region is published, and the domain is registered for one year only (17 March 2026 to 17 March 2027), which is worth rechecking before relying on the service over a long horizon
Setup & Integrations
Technical difficulty
Low. Nothing is installed: Scenario Edge runs in the browser, and an account needs only an email address and a password. The Risk Grader works with no account at all, and a pre-filled demonstration portfolio lets you see the output before typing anything. Holdings are entered by hand — ticker search plus quantity — with no brokerage connection or documented file import. Scenarios are written in ordinary language, and the macro assumptions arrive pre-filled at market consensus, so nothing has to be tuned. No financial modelling skill is required; reading the confidence and sensitivity scores usefully does call for some market grounding.
Deployment
Integrations
Supported languages
Behind Scenario Edge
Social
Resources
All the official URLs gathered for verification and reference.
Frequently asked questions
What counts as one scenario run?
What happens once I have used my monthly runs?
Do unused scenario runs roll over to the next month?
Does re-running the same scenario cost another run?
Is there a genuinely free version?
Are the projections investment advice?
Which assets and exchanges are covered?
Do I need an account for the Risk Grader, and how does it differ from a full analysis?
Is my portfolio data used to train AI models?
Can I cancel at any time?
Should you pick Scenario Edge?
Scenario Edge does the methodological work that most "AI predicts your portfolio" products skip. Sources are tiered, evidence strength is stated, confidence is computed from several factors rather than asserted, direction is derived from the numbers, and every analysis is required to say what would prove it wrong. For an investor who wants to think an exposure through rather than be told what to buy, that is a genuinely useful frame — and the free scenario library, the demonstration portfolio and the Risk Grader let you judge the output before paying anything. The reservations are about the publisher, not the method. Nothing identifies who is behind the service: no full company name, no address, no registration number, one email address, and no entity of that name in the Australian business register, even though the terms send disputes to Australian courts. The domain was registered on 17 March 2026 and first archived on 11 April 2026, for a single year — this is a very young product. The privacy policy states that no third-party advertising cookies are used while the pages load a Meta pixel and a Pinterest tag. An App Store badge sits on the home page with no application behind it, and the research articles carry dates a year older than the domain itself. Pricing is demanding against the quota: USD 49 a month buys five scenario runs, and re-running the same scenario spends another. Take the projections for what the site itself says they are — hypothetical, conditional on the assumptions you entered, educational. They are not forecasts and they are not investment advice. The reasoning is worth reading; the numbers deserve exactly the scepticism the product's own confidence scores invite.
- Choosing a selection results in a full page refresh.
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